RiskMonster
Comprehensive Decentralized Analytics Platform
v1.0 Technical Documentation

RiskMonster is a comprehensive decentralized analytics platform designed for quantitative risk assessment of ERC-20 tokens, DEX liquidity pools, and wallet trading behavior in the DeFi ecosystem. The application provides institutional-grade risk metrics and advanced visualizations to help traders make informed decisions by identifying potential market manipulation, supply concentration risks, and trading anomalies.

The platform employs sophisticated mathematical models including Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), Gini coefficient, Nakamoto coefficient, and Concentration Ratio (CR8) to calculate composite risk scores. It features multiple analytical visualizations such as bubble maps for holder distribution analysis, Sankey diagrams for token flow patterns, temporal flow analysis for behavioral changes, and circular flow detection for wash trading identification.

Table of Contents

1. Completed Risk MetricsPage 2
2. Coming Soon FeaturesPage 4
3. Mathematical FoundationsPage 5
4. Implementation RoadmapPage 8

Completed Risk Metrics

1
Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI)
Completed
HHI = Σ(s_i)² × 10000

This mathematical analysis checks if a few people own most of the coins. If too many coins are held by just a few "whales," it is risky. They can work together to change the price suddenly. A low score is safer for everyone.

HHI RangeRisk LevelMarket Condition
1,500Low RiskCompetitive market
1,500-2,500Moderate RiskModerate concentration
2,500High RiskManipulation risk
2
Gini Coefficient
Completed
G = 1 - (2Σ(rank × balance))/(n × Σ(balance))

This number measures how fairly the coin is shared. A low score means many people own a similar amount, which is safe. A high score means a few people own almost everything. This is risky because those few people have all the power.

Gini RangeDistribution QualityRisk Assessment
0.0-0.3Healthy distributionLow risk
0.3-0.5Moderate inequalityMonitor closely
0.5Dangerous centralizationHigh risk
3
Nakamoto Coefficient
Completed

This counts how many people control the majority of supply. The lower the number is, the riskier the token is to invest in. A bigger number is much safer, as it means the majority of the token is very well distributed. If the number is low it means that one or just a few people could drastically alter the price of the token, and that the token's price is not stable.

Nakamoto CoefficientDecentralization LevelRisk Level
5Extremely vulnerableVery High Risk
5-20Moderate vulnerabilityMedium Risk
20Healthy decentralizationLow Risk
4
Concentration Ratio (CR)
Completed
CRn = Σ(top_n_holders)/total_supply

This looks at the biggest holders and measures how concentrated supply is among them, similar to Nakamoto but based on different mathematical calculations. Typically measured as CR4 (top 4 holders) or CR8 (top 8 holders).

5
Four Factor Aggregation
Completed
Composite Risk = 0.4×(HHI_norm) + 0.3×(Gini) + 0.2×(1 - min(1,Nakamoto/50)) + 0.1×(CR8/100)

An aggregate metric combining Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), Gini Coefficient, Nakamoto Coefficient, and Concentration Ratio (CR) into a unified risk score ranging from 0-100.

6
Bubblemap Visualization
Completed

A classic visual analysis method for crypto. Addresses are bubbles, connections represent transaction activity between them. Our map shows a mix of the top holders, as well as the most recently active holders. This visualization helps identify clustering patterns and potential manipulation networks.

Coming Soon Features

7. Temporal Flow (Sankey) Coming Soon

This picture shows how people's behavior is changing over time. It lets you see how broadly and naturally a token has distributed itself among its holders. It also shows trends in holder count over time very effectively.

8. Token Flow Analysis Coming Soon

This analysis technique sorts people into groups: buyers, sellers, and those holding. If there are many more sellers than buyers, it is a sign of a negative trend in price and the price will probably drop, or continue to drop.

9. Circular Flow Detection Coming Soon

This looks for fake trading, volume spam bots, wash trading and collusion. It spots when multiple accounts trade the same tokens back and forth with each other to pretend there is more activity.

10. Temporal Pattern Analysis Coming Soon

This analysis looks for strange activity. It recognizes normal trading and highlights anything that looks unusual. It specifically looks for anomalous activity that often happens right before a big price move.

11
Gas Cost Analyzer
Coming Soon

Unlike any other, instead of overestimating future costs for the purposes of making sure transactions are processed, this gas cost analyzer gives you a moving average of historical transaction prices on a token, showing you the actual costs people are paying at a given time. Gas prices play a big role in the frequency of trades and trading volume cannot be used as an accurate metric without adjusting for gas cost.

Implementation Roadmap

Phase 1: Core Risk Metrics

  • Deploy HHI, Gini, Nakamoto calculations
  • Implement Composite Risk Score
  • Set up hourly CR8 monitoring

Phase 2: Behavioral Analytics

  • Activate Token Flow classification
  • Deploy Circular Flow detection
  • Configure Temporal Pattern alerts

Phase 3: Visualization Layer

  • Build Bubblemap dashboard
  • Implement Sankey diagram for state transitions
  • Create anomaly heatmaps

Key Benefits

  • Institutional-Grade Analytics: Mathematical models used by traditional finance adapted for DeFi
  • Real-Time Processing: Cutting-edge deltas and aggregates system for live blockchain data
  • Comprehensive Risk Assessment: Multiple complementary metrics provide complete risk picture
  • Advanced Visualizations: Complex data made accessible through intuitive visual interfaces
  • Market Manipulation Detection: Sophisticated algorithms identify wash trading and collusion
  • Behavioral Analysis: Track changes in holder patterns and trading behavior over time